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Continuity Correction

Probability · Axiom Academy

Improving normal approximations for discrete distributions 1. Why We Need Continuity Correction Consider X ~ B(20, 0.5). The exact probability P(X = 10) uses the discrete PMF. But when we approximate with the normal distribution: This is wrong! The normal distribution is continuous, so the probability at any single point is zero. The solution: Treat the discrete value 10 as representing the interval [9.5, 10.5]. Then: 2. Continuity Correction Rules When approximating discrete X with continuous normal, apply these corrections: P(X = k) → P(k - 0.5 < X < k + 0.5) The pattern: add 0.5 when moving away from the mean, subtract 0.5 when moving toward the mean. 3. Example: With vs. Without Correction Problem: Let X ~ B(100, 0.3). Find P(X ≤ 25). Without continuity correction: Computing: z = (25 - 30)/4.58 = -1.09, so P(Z ≤ -1.09) ≈ 0.138 Computing: z = (25.5 - 30)/4.58 = -0.98, so P(Z ≤ -0.98) ≈ 0.164 Exact binomial: P(X ≤ 25) = 0.165 The continuity correction (0.164) is much closer to the exact value (0.165) than the uncorrected approximation (0.138)!

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